Showing posts with label debt. Show all posts
Showing posts with label debt. Show all posts

Friday, October 27, 2017

Catalan Parliament approves independence

The Parliament of Catalonia approved this afternoon the independence of Catalonia (full text of the declaration, in Catalan). The voting was secret and the results were as follows: 70 yes, 10 against and 2 blank votes and 52 absentees (hardcore Spanish nationalists who don't recognize the right of Catalonia to self-determination). There seems to be one missing vote in the account, nobody seems to care.

People celebrate Catalan Independence near Parliament

With this action Catalonia ends all procrastination in favor of negotiation, which has not been listened to by Spain at all. On the contrary, the Spanish government, which is weak electorally but, thanks to the many tricks of the Neo-Francoist constitution still has absolute majority in the Senate*, and has managed anyhow to muster the support of the so-called "Spanish Socialst Worker Party" to approve also today the suspension of Catalan autonomy, activating article 155 or the Spanish Constitution, the kind of constitutional provision that Hitler was fond of resorting to in order to consolidate his power some 70 years ago.

Today a conflict between two sovereign states begins: one enjoys international recognition and has 95.000 police agents (plus the military, which won't surely be used because there's no war), the other is unrecognized (yet) and will fight only with the power of NONVIOLENT POPULAR RESISTANCE. Who will win?

I forecast that Catalonia will prevail. Why? Because they have already demonstrated their willpower, discipline and nonviolent firmness, in previous confrontations such as the referendum of October 1st, the General Strike of October 3rd and many other episodes of popular struggle in the last many years.

Against that determination Spain can only exert force. Its appeals to Catalan unionists to walk out have failed (sure: they brought many buses from Spain proper but rallied very few people from Catalonia itself) so they only have the farce of Spanish laws and courts that are, since today, not legal in Catalonia anymore. And they have 95.000 ill-paid and overworked police agents who will soon be shown as useless to implement Spanish law against millions and millions of disobeying Catalans.

Catalonia is Kosova on steroids: it is much larger, richer and visible than poor little Kosova was when it had to confront, in the pre-Internet era, a similar situation. Back then it was obvious that any solution not implying the independence of Kosova would fail. It took eight years of very brutal Serbian occupation but they eventually succeeded, not without a blitz war.

The situation is nevertheless different in Catalonia: Kosova did not matter, it was a mere humanitarian issue, but Serbia/Yugoslavia did not matter much either. Spain however has major geostrategical relevance because of the Strait of Gibraltar (plus French historical backyard geostrategy), so its NATO allies won't betray her. But Catalonia also has major strategical relevance, being one of two main knots linking the Iberian Peninsula to Europe (the other is the Basque Country) and this is a trump card the Catalans can play: sabotaging via strikes and blockades the commercial routes will no doubt have a demolishing impact in Spain's economy and its international reputation. 

Additionally Spain is effectively bankrupt: only the European Central Bank buys Spanish bonds these days, the pensions' reserve fund has been exhausted and Spain is financially unable to pay for almost anything. This is going to lead to a major crisis in Spain but a crisis that will shatter Europe and the World. Because so far the bankruptcy crisis had been delayed in Europe so far but now it will become absolutely unavoidable. 

That's the bargaining chip of the brave Catalan People: that's how a People determined to fight (noviolently) can bring the World to a halt. 

Catalonia will be free. The whole World Order (itself in deep crisis) cannot impede it. How could it? Catalonia is (together with the Basque Country) the motherland of Insubmissió: some three decades ago we gloriously defeated the Spanish Army with NONVIOLENT RESISTANCE, and Catalan society has learned that lesson well, probably better than us Basques. They cannot be defeated, they will prevail and teach the World a lesson.

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* Every Spanish province, regardless of population or ethnicity, gets 4 senators, three of which go to the most voted party and the fourth to the second one. Most Spanish provinces are rural, nearly empty provinces of Castilian or assimilated ethnicity.

Monday, November 9, 2015

Catalan Parliament proclaims "disconnection" with Spain

With a clear majority of 72 vs 63, the Catalan Parliament has approved this morning the nine points of the declaration that I advanced on Friday, which proclaims the beginning of a process for the formation of a sovereign and independent Catalan Republic, allowing for 30 days to initiate the corresponding key laws (constituent process, social security and public treasury) and declares insubordination towards Spanish institutions such as the Constitutional Court, explicitly mentioned. 

Afterwards an annex, again with nine points, addressing human and social rights, was also approved with the same majority. Strangely enough the non-indpendentist allegedly left-leaning groups, be it the Socialist Party or Catalonia Can Indeed (Podemos + United Left + independents) voted against the annex, which urges the future government to:
  1. guarantee basic energy needs to all families,
  2. guarantee housing to people at social exclusion risk,
  3. guarantee universal access to public health care,
  4. appeal the constitutionality of the latest Spanish education law (Wert law)
  5. appeal the constitutionality of the Spanish law of civic security (muzzle law), which is the most repressive of all Europe and goes against the International Declaration of Human Rights
  6. make ineffective the Spanish law of local administrations, that severely constricts local self-rule,
  7. open relations with the UN High Commission for Refugees in order to host a greater number of refugees than those admitted by Spain,
  8. follow the 17/2015 law on matters of abortion and effective equality between men and women (I don't understand well this part but that's what it says),
  9. renegotiate the public debt in order to allocate resources to social expenses.

Raül Romeva, speaker of Together for the Yes (the largest group, with 62 seats), explained that it is not a unilateral declaration of independence but an act of sovereignty, rupture and dignity. Anna Gabriel (Popular Unity List, CUP) used her time to explain the points of the annex, emphasizing that way the social meaning of the disconnection process. 

All other parties and coalitions joined forces against not just each of the nine main points, voted separately, but also against the social annex, underlining the inclusion of Catalonia Can Indeed in the unionist bloc without any shades. One of its MPs, Joan Giner (Podem), said he rather wanted to abstain in the vote, notably because of the social annex, but that he has been hardly pressed by the leaders of the group, to vote against, with threat of expulsion if he did not follow the group's discipline. 

Monday, July 6, 2015

The day after the OXI

By now I'm sure all you know the results of yesterday's referendum in Greece: 61% no, 39% yes. You can say it louder but not more clear. 

Even in spite of financial terrorism by the Bankster Mafia that rules our pitiful Europe, the Greek people stood proud and sent a resounding message to all Europe: we must resist the exploiters and oppressors of the European People(s), we must not bow, not falter, not surrender because we are on the right path. 

Congratulations, Greece, for standing proud and defiant. Thank you, Greece, for taking up the first major battle of the European People(s) against the decadent financier capitalism, which looks stronger than it really is. 


Varoufakis resigns

Yanis Varoufakis had announced his resignation if he was forced by the will of the people to sign a bad deal that does not substantially reduce the debt. However what nobody really expected is that he would resign also in the event of a "no" vote.



The logic behind is that other Eurogroup ministers didn't like him, particularly the attitude of the Dutch Finance Minister and President of the informal committee, J. Djisselbloem seems to have been decisive. Mind you that I am of the opinion that it is Djisselbloem the one who should resign for violating the Treaty of Lisbon last saturday, by holding an "Eurogroup meeting" and issuing a communication as such "Eurogroup" after banishing the Greek representative. 

I also demand the cessation of Mario Draghi on grounds of financial terrorism against Europeans. 

Instead I strongly disagree with Varoufakis' resignation because I believe that Europe needs more and not less transparency and that we need of statesmen of the size of the Greek economist and not just a bunch of gray bureaucrats wearing a uniform of suits and ties as sign of their submission to the oligarchs. 


More resignation ripples

Curiously enough, the former leader of the current "Socialist Left" in the Spanish twin party PSOE, and member of its Federal Committee, B. Talegón, has also resigned today as member of the party, in this case over disagreement on how her party has managed the Greek crisis, standing against the Greek People. 

She said that this stand should be cause for the resignation of the leadership of the Spanish social-liberal party because they have shown to be "neither socialists, nor democrats, nor Europeists". She also claimed that the true socialists left the party when there was no more "international solidarity, nor republic, nor democracy, nor dignity" left in it.

Beatriz Talegón became quite popular a couple of years ago when she fiercely criticized in a meeting of the so-called Socialist International, the luxury of the meeting and the distance of most leaders from their respective peoples.


Back to the negotiation?

That's what Tsipras has promised to do and is his mandate. However I do wonder which is the point when the Eurocrats are clearly not showing any repentance but rather getting entrenched. 

In spite of the democratic rejection of the proposed deal, I cannot foresee anything even half-decent coming out from the negotiation table. Surely the only way to go is to unilaterally declare bankruptcy and brave the storm with socialist policies.

Saturday, June 27, 2015

Greece will hold a referendum on debt deal

Mind you that at the time I write this the deal is not even signed yet. 

Finance Minister Yanis Varoufakis warned that "every time we make a concession and we walk three fourths of the road, the institutions do exactly the opposite". But even then he did hope to reach an agreement today.

Unspecified "Troika" speakers also agreed that an agreement today is likely. 

The referendum will be held on July 5th. 

Varoufakis tweeted in this regard:
Democracy deserved a boost in euro-related matters. We just delivered it. Let the people decide. (Funny how radical this concept sounds!)

The official stand of Syriza is to ask for a "yes" "NO" (see update) vote. Right-wing nationalist coalition partners Independent Greeks (ANEL) have asked for a "no". PASOK considered the move "irresponsible". 

I'd personally vote "no" myself (because I believe unilateral bankruptcy and a socialist praxis is the way to go) but I do think it is not just important but a fundamental democratic need that the Greek People is the one to decide in such crucial matters. If they would have been asked five years ago, maybe we would not be where we are now. 

Sources: RT, Público[es].


Update:

The actual stand of Syriza and the Greek government is to ask for a "no". In other words: they feel that they are conceding too much and that they won't go ahead unless the Greek People demands them to do so. 

Brussels warns that the call of a referendum means the end of negotiations. It's plausible that Tsipras et al. already expected that and it may be the way to break useless negotiations in the most democratic and transparent possible way.

In effect it seems to mean that the Greek default is a fait accomplí and now begin the legal squirmishes on whether the Bank of Greece can print euros or not, whose fault is it, etc. Depending on the details it may result on formal suspension of Greece's membership in the EU (although a single country other than Greece could veto that decision even with an abstention, as it requires a yes vote by every single other member state).

Another legal squirmish may take place in the Greek parliament if the conservative opposition demands a no-confidence vote, which Tsipras will no doubt win, delaying the referendum process by maybe 3 days.

In any case the moment of truth has arrived.

Sources[es]: Principia Marsupia (Twitter), Público.

Thursday, June 25, 2015

Greek debt nightmare in a simple graph

As "negotiations" (mere charade and posturing, particularly on the creditor side) are and will be going nowhere (Lagarde and the Germans are sabotaging any possible deal) I found this nice explaining graph at RT "live updates" page on the matter:



So what Greece has got in five years of total surrender is a multiplication of its debt x4, a slashing of its economy by a whole quarter and no light at the end of the tunnel. No matter how bad it is, bankruptcy is clearly much better.

Saturday, June 20, 2015

Greek debt audit: pure mafioso extortion

Update (Jun 25): full report (PDF).

The executive summary of the Greek Public Debt Audit Report was made public this week, setting the legal and ethical basis for the national bankruptcy which was delayed in extremis to the end of this month but will take place without doubt by June 30th. 

Can't pay, won't pay is the most read header in the mainstream media and even many blogs but that's only part of the issue. The background problem is that the debt was contracted in ways that were akin to high treason. 

First of all, the debt growth in the pre-Troika period was not used to increase public spending, which remained in fact the lowest of the Eurozone, but was caused by:
  • Usury by creditors, who charged very high interest rates
  • Extremely high unjustified military spending (ironically not at all what the Troika demands cutting)
  • Loss of tax revenues via capital outflows (tax evasion to British colonies, etc.)
  • Public subsidies (recapitalization) to private banks (welfare for the rich)
  • Trade imbalances caused by a flawed design of the monetary union: no UE public spending or low-rate public financing to compensate for this catastrophic design makes the UE a colony of Germany and a few small Nordic satellites, the infamous post-modern IV Reich. Is it a flaw or rather a feature?
These are the objective mechanisms that created the snowball of Greek public debt. 

Then, in the Troika period, states were coerced to bail out troubled private banks. This was again financed by the international financial bankster mafia and greatly increased the public debt of not just Greece but many other states. 

The Troika-imposed agreements (the infamous memorandums) only created new debt at even worse abusive costs (usury again). Most of the money that was lent to Greece in the 2010-14 period went directly back to the pockets of the lending International Capitalist Mafia. These also benefited from the dismantling of the Greek state, purchasing many of its profitable assets at ridiculously low prices. 

Worse: the conditions attached to those credit lines have only damaged the Greek economy, destroying its very sustainability and causing an almost unprecedented humanitarian crisis. 

The European Union and its institutions, such as the ECB, as well as UN institutions like the IMF, are bound (in theory) to protect human rights but they have only charged against them, following the only logic of (1) usurary gain and (2) the forge of an unstable German neo-colonial empire in Europe. In synthesis: profit of the oligarchs above the human rights of us so-called "European citizens". 

Incidentally the agreements were not signed under Greek law or international legality but under English law, which apparently does not care at all for human rights, only for profit. This was intended to circumvent the Greek constitution, what is actually illegal when one of the signatories is the Greek state itself. 

The debt is also illegal because it breaches the IMF statutes. It is also odious because it was produced in spite of being cause of breach human rights, something that neither the IMF nor the EU can legally do.

The ECB is also accused of over-stepping its mandate to favor the narrow interests of the Bankster Mafia. This should also be illegal and certainly is odious. Similarly the EFSF loans are illegal because they breach the Treaty of Lisbon (effective "constitution" of the EU), as well as imposing conditions that are anti-democratic.

The bilateral loans between Greece and various other states are also illegal, as they violate the Greek constitution, as well as EU and international laws. 

Loans with private banks are also illegal and odious because said banks (notably Goldman Sachs) did not behave responsibly and often acted in bad faith (credit default swaps, for instance). The recapitalization of Greek banks was also illegal, using public funds for private purposes and further indebting the Greek nation.

The fact that all these debts are illegal and odious make up the legal and ethical frame that allow the Greek state to unilaterally repudiate them. Of course the Greek state can always declare sovereign bankruptcy (can't pay: won't pay) but this report offers the basis for a different kind of default: the debt is illegal and immoral, so it does not exist. If anything, lenders owe reparations to Greece for the damages caused. 

One may think this is a totally pointless exercise because after all the situation is the same: little red and democratic Greece versus the massive Imperial Bankster Mafia. The point of it is, I understand, to stop the diversion: it's not that Greece owes money because it has dilapidated it, Greece is simply being extorted by the International Mafia. 

And it is not just Greece of course.

...

You can sign a petition demanding to cancel the Greek debt HERE.

Sunday, May 31, 2015

The unavoidable and forced bankruptcy of Greece: five days to go

On May 24, the Coalition of the Radical Left, SYRIZA, elected by the Greek People to lead the country beyond the Hell to which the so-called European Union and the IMF (in other words: the International Bankster Mafia) had doomed it, agreed by consensus to the statement titled May hope prevail in Greece and Europe.

The party of common sense, which enjoys massive and growing support, in Greece admits that salaries and social needs must have priority over lenders' demands what means in practical terms that, unless the EU and the IMF turn around in the next few days, what they won't, Greece will de facto go into bankruptcy on June 5th. Very possibly, as the EU is not helping in any way, that will also mean switching to a national currency and a more active state intervention in the economy. Greece will go "Bolivarian", they are given no alternative.

They have tried though to find some other less radical way out of the debt trap but the only goal of the banksters who control the undemocratic institutions of the European Union (soon to be disunion) are only interested in sucking the blood of Greeks and removing the red government. It is not working because they are only pushing Greece towards a more radical path and, meanwhile, rallying the Greek People around Syriza. My worst fear, which was a Béla Kun moment, is not going to materialize: the stand of the EU and the IMF is backfiring.

The statement is clear: the oligarchs, too often enemies of Greece, will have to pay if they wish to continue operating in Greece:

The opponent however, is not only outside, but also within the walls. The oligarchy that was favoured and strengthened during the past 25 years, saw its power sky-rocket through the policies of extreme austerity and the deregulation of the labour-market during the 5 years of the memoranda. The outcome of the struggle against this oligarchy will be the judge of both the new government and SYRIZA as such.

This struggle aims to establish a radically different social and economic model, which will be based on the redistribution of wealth, the promotion of equality, solidarity, the respect of public property, the support for the common goods, the support for wage labourers, and the respect for the environment. That is why it faces fierce reaction. The power block of the oligarchs has cast away its mask of “impartiality” for some time now, and has undertaken the confrontation with the government without political mediators and without pretexts. The daily attacks we face by the media of complicity (both print and electronic) are far from accidental.

However, SYRIZA has proven countless times in the past and continues to prove in practice that it disregards propaganda and intimidation, because it has absolute trust in the judgment of the Greek people. It is time thus, for the oligarchs to understand it for good: The time has come for them to dig into their own pockets. The time has come to pay taxes, to pay their bank loans, to pay for the TV frequencies they have been using so long free of charge, to pay just as the law prescribes and just as every single Greek citizen has been paying out of his/her own meager savings. The time has come for them to pay what they haven’t been paying for all these years. Despite their propaganda against us, we will claim our rights and we will bring justice one way or another. We have before us four years minus four months of government to do it.

The time of reckoning has come for Greece. But this is only the first step, the rest of Europe is next in line.

By the moment let us show our solidarity with the Greek People, because their struggle is our struggle, the struggle of Humankind.

Tuesday, May 19, 2015

Fascist Ukraine gets Western support in its bankruptcy - compare with Greece

The Fascist regime in Ukraine has just passed a law allowing arbitrary moratorium on its foreign debt payments. The country has been actually brought to bankruptcy by the Fascist "Maidan" regime imposed by the USA and its allies, including early "evacuation" (robbery?) of its gold reserves to the USA and therefore this bankruptcy was very predictable. 

The interesting part is actually in the Western reaction to the news:
The international community, including the United States, European Union and international financial institutions are helping Ukraine in this difficult time, said the statement. The country expects a $17.5 billion bailout from the IMF in the next four years, as well as $7.2 billion that will be loaned to Ukraine other countries and international financial institutions.

In other words the USA and its puppets are helping the Fascist dictatorship of Kiev to have a non-catastrophic partial bankrupcty by means of perpetuating the debt dependency. It serves their purposes, which are to extend the anti-Russian and anti-Ukrainian regime for as long as possible (it won't last forever, that's clear when you get a mere 17% participation in the mock presidential elections, but meanwhile the looting continues). 


The siege of Greece

Meanwhile the extremely democratic socialist government of Greece, enjoying growing popular support by all accounts, a member of the European Union and NATO, is being forced to uncontrolled bankruptcy (and exit from the Eurozone) by those same powers. 

Not a single attempt at relief is being made even if Tsipras and his cabinet enjoy vast democratic support. Much like in Venezuela, what the Western Empire is doing, is to besiege the democratic socialist government in the hope that it will collapse and stops being a nuisance to their extremist capitalist policies.

A naive observer would think this is absurd, how can the self-proclaimed "guardians of democracy" promote fascism and attack democracy? Well, they are only the guardians of Capitalism. "Democracy" in their propaganda speech is just a code word for Capitalism at its worst, for vassalage to the global banker mafia. That way in their media Ukraine becomes a "democracy" and Venezuela a "tyranny". Of course nobody informed can believe that but not everyone is informed, many just watch TV. 

In fact today we see more and more how democracy opposes Capitalism and how Capitalism, after the period of concessions because of the Cold War I, when it had to compete against the Leninist version of socialism, is again, as in the 1920s and 30s supporting fascism everywhere. It never really stopped being that way (just consider the many fascist regimes under NATO protectorate in Mediterranean Europe, Latin America, Africa and Asia, including Israel and Apartheid South Africa) but there was a time when the West appeared ashamed of such relationships. Not anymore now that the mass media is absolutely concentrated in a few oligarchic hands: now it is again as in the time of Mussolini and Hitler and it may indeed have the same dire consequences.

Thursday, February 26, 2015

V for Varoufakis (humor)

This is just hilarious:



Pity is that down here in real Earth, Yanis has actually been forced to swallow a lot of crap and Schauble is laughing (if he can laugh at all, does he?) on his wheelchair. 

I take the opportunity to demand from Germany the payment of its war debt and reparations not only to Greece but also the Basque Country (remember Gernika!) and from Britain to return the stolen Parthenon marbles. Otherwise they should expect their share of the Greek inducted debt to be canceled in return - or so I hope. 

Greece is still at the crossroads: be Europe's Haiti or be Europe's Cuba? I think the answer is clear.

Sunday, February 26, 2012

From the Net: 'Kilkis, Northern Greece: Message from a member of the workers’ general assembly, from the occupied city’s hospital' (Contra Info)

Hello all,

Thank you so much for your interest and support.

The occupation of our hospital in Kilkis by its workers started on Monday, February 20th, at 8:30 local time. This occupation is not only about us, the physicians and the workers at the Kilkis Hospital. Neither is it only about the Greek National Health System, which is collapsing, indeed. We are in this fight because what are in real danger now is the human rights. And this threat is not against just a nation, or against a few countries, or a few social groups, but against the low and middle classes in Europe, America, Asia, Africa, in the whole world. Today’s Greece, is tomorrow’s picture of Portugal, Spain, Italy and the rest of the countries worldwide.

The workers at the Kilkis Hospital and at most of the hospitals and health centers in Greece are not paid on time and some of them see their salaries being cut down to practically zero. A fellow-worker of mine was transferred to our cardiologic clinic in shock, when he realized that instead of receiving the usual check of 800 euros (yes; that is his monthly salary) from the state, he received a note saying that not only he will be paid nothing for this month, but he is also to return 170 euros. Other workers were paid only 9 (nine) euros for this month. Those of us who still receive some kind of a salary will support them in any way we can.

This is a war against the people, against the whole community. Those who say that the public debt of Greece is the debt of the Greek people are lying. It is not the people’s debt. It was created by the governments in collaboration with the bankers in order to enslave people. The loans to Greece are not used for salaries, pensions and public care. It is exactly the opposite: salaries, pensions and care are used to pay the bankers...

... full letter at Contra Info.

Wednesday, February 22, 2012

From the Net: 'Greece: Eurogroup imposes interest of usurers to be guaranteed by the constitution' (S. Karayannopoulos at IDOM)

[The last] Eurogroup meeting in Brussels finally reached a deal and, in the most provocative manner, put a seal on the drama that the Greek working people have had to endure for the past two years.

The highlight of this provocative deal is the obligation on the Greek parliament to revise the constitution in 2013 and insert a clause that will safeguard the interests of lenders and transform these into a national priority. Healthcare, education, wages and pensions, issues of vital importance for the Greek people, are to be regarded as insignificant compared to the need to ensure the profits of the usurers.


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Note by Maju: this essentially demonstrates how the EU as we know it must be scrapped in order to save Europe, both as sociological reality and as project of continental convivence and sharing. As it is, the EU is just the enemy of Europeans. 

Tuesday, February 7, 2012

Greek MPs demand that Germany pays war indenities

While the row on the upcoming Greek disorderly bankruptcy heats up, 28 MPs from diverse political affiliations have decided that it is about time that one of their creditors and toxic friends, Germany pays the indemnities for the occupation and massacres in World War II. While Germany is keen to pay tribute to the racist and genocidal colony of Israel regularly, Greece has yet to see a single Deutsche Mark (or euro) in war reparations. 

The MPs consider that Germany owes Greece 52 billion € (what is still barely above a 15% of the debt Greece has accumulated, 360 billion €) but they also demand compound interest, what could well cover the bill or at least a fraction of it (depending on the interest rate considered).

In spite of being one of the most determined ally countries in World War II, defeating Mussolini and putting fierce resistance to the German occupation, the USA, Britain and France forced Greece not to demand war reparations back in the day. However Italy did pay 100 million USD.

Source: Sare Antifaxista[es] (except for the compound interest estimate which is mine: 280 billion € at a constant 3% interest rate, SA says only 72 billion € what is, I think, a ridiculous amount for a 57 years-old debt, but of course it depends on the interest charged).

Friday, November 4, 2011

Hudson denounces US banksters behind the Greek crisis

T. Geithner, Executive Manager for the Capitalist Mafia
Must watch: Michael Hudson at Democracy Now! explains how the Greek referendum was sabotaged by... US Secretary of Treasury and de facto ruler of the USA in the name of Goldman Sachs, Rockefeller and the rest of the gang of the ugliest and filthy richest, Timothy Geithner.

Geithner began his career working for Kissinger, and has been since member of republican and democrat governments alike, specialized in economic and imperial (foreign affairs) management. 

Geithner and his goons have threatened Greece and Europe in general not to allow Greece to make a decent landing, nothing like Iceland or Argentina: they must, it seems, pay like Haiti for 200 years to come. 

All this is just because the super-mafiosi have gambled with credit default swaps, a bet against the ability of Greece to land on its feet.




Transcript (with some underlinings, in red, by me):


AMY GOODMAN: World leaders are gathering in Cannes for the opening of the Group of 20 summit today. That’s the G20 summit. On the top of the agenda is Greece and the European debt crisis. The Greek prime minister, George Papandreou, is coming under intense criticism from European leaders for allowing the Greek people to decide if they want to accept the conditions of a $179 billion E.U. bailout. Papandreou has announced the referendum will take place in early December, but it now looks like his government is in danger of collapsing before then. He faces a vote of no confidence tomorrow. According to polls, most Greeks are opposed to the bailout plan, and there have been protests across the country against deepening austerity.
Papandreou addressed a press conference following a crisis meeting with eurozone leaders in Cannes.
PRIME MINISTER GEORGE PAPANDREOU: The essence is that it is—this is not a question only of a program; this is a question of whether we want to remain in the eurozone. That’s very clear. That should be clear to everyone. I believe that this will be a positive outcome. I believe the Greek people want us to remain in the eurozone. And I believe that this referendum will show so.
REPORTER 1: Are you confident—
REPORTER 2: If they say no, do you have a plan, if they say no?
PRIME MINISTER GEORGE PAPANDREOU: I want to say that we—we will have a "yes."
AMY GOODMAN: Meanwhile, the leaders of Germany and France said Greece would not receive another cent in European aid until it decides whether it wants to stay in the eurozone. Head of the Eurogroup, Jean-Claude Juncker, said Greece will likely miss out on billions of euros of aid as a result of the scheduled referendum on the bailout plan.
PRIME MINISTER JEAN-CLAUDE JUNCKER: [inaudible] is depending on the "yes" or "no" to the question which will be submitted to the Greek people. So Greece has lost—Greece had eight billion. Greece has lost eight billions after having made the decision to put all these questions to referendum.
AMY GOODMAN: Jean-Claude Juncker is prime minister of Luxembourg and head of the Eurogroup of 17 eurozone finance ministers.
To talk more about this, we’re joined by Democracy Now! video stream from Germany by Michael Hudson, who’s been closely following the Greek crisis. Professor Hudson is president of the Institute for the Study of Long-Term Economic Trends, distinguished research professor of economics at University of Missouri, Kansas City, author of Super Imperialism: The Economic Strategy of American Empire.
Welcome to Democracy Now!, Michael Hudson. What is happening right now? The significance of Obama being in the south of France at the G20 meeting, and the possibility of the Greek prime minister being thrown out?

MICHAEL HUDSON: Well, you’ve asked about three questions there now. Obama is here to represent the interests of the American banks. And the Europeans are very angry that a few weeks ago Tim Geithner, the bank lobbyist, came over and insisted that Europe not forgive Greece’s bank loans, not let Greece write down the loans, and indeed that it not even claim that Greece should do what Argentina is and write down the loans as a premise, because Mr. Geithner explained to the Europeans that the largest insurers of the Greek debt are American money market funds and hedge funds. And he said American hedge funds and banks would lose money and actually would crash the U.S. economy, if Europe made a concession to Greece to bring debts down to the ability to pay. So, instead of a debt write-down or a haircut, the banks said, "OK, we will agree with what the Americans are insisting on, and we will ask for a voluntary write-down by the banks on the Greek debt they hold." Obviously, European banks who are not part of the credit default swaps have disagreed with this. So the Americans are putting immense pressure on Europe, saying, "We will wreck your economy, if you don’t wreck Greece’s economy."

Now, because of the problem in Greece, you have had the riots in the street, you have had the demonstrations. All of these demonstrations in Athens are very much like the Occupy Wall Street demonstrations here, and the similar demonstrations in Iceland. They were to show that the Greek people were not behind the bailout and to let the international banks know that if the so-called rescue operation—that is, the German and European rescue of the French banks and the German banks and the American banks that hold the Greek bonds, not the rescue of Greece—were to go through, that the fact that this was unpopular, under international law, meant that the Greeks could repudiate the debt. So, you heard two days ago, or on Monday, indeed, Mr. Papandreou said, "We’re going to have a referendum on whether to pay the—go along with the austerity plan or not." The principle is the same that the president of Iceland said earlier this year: if you’re going to plunge an economy into a decade of depression and force much of its population to leave to find jobs, the workers have to have a vote—the population has to have a vote.

Well, just a few minutes ago, the clip that you played at the beginning of the program was something quite different. Yesterday, when Mr. Papandreou met with Angela Merkel and Sarkozy in France, they said, "Look, all the opinion polls show that the Greeks are going to vote against the referendum, so let’s think of something nice. Would they rather be human beings or monkeys? What would they rather do?" And they came up with another question: do the Greeks want to be part of Europe or not? Well, obviously, the Greeks—66 percent of the Greeks do want to stay in the eurozone. They want to stay in the euro. So, by trying to rephrase the question in a way that will get a "yes" vote, they avoid asking the really important question: do you Greeks want to push yourself into a decade of depression and impose austerity and sell off the public domains, sell off the Athenian water supply, sell off your islands, sell off, yeah, your mineral rights in the sea, sell off even the Parthenon—do you want to do that so that the American banks will not lose money? Well, obviously, that would get a "no" vote. So there is some kind of trickery here going on. Nobody knows exactly what the referendum will be, or right now, whether there even will be a referendum, because, as you also noted earlier, the other politicians in Greece are now jockeying for position and are trying to get rid of Papandreou and to replace him, in a very opportunistic mood, to prevent any kind of a referendum happening at all.

Yesterday, the headline in the Frankfurter Zeitung was "Democracy is Crap," and—or "Democracy is Junk." And the reason that was the headline was the financial sector was saying democracy is incompatible with collecting debts, and when they can’t pay, with foreclosing on the public domain and privatizing a country. You can’t have democracy, and you can’t have debts grow beyond the ability to pay and impose austerity, like the IMF used to do in the third world countries. So, what’s at stake is whether Europe—Greece and other countries—are going to be democratic or whether they’re going to be run by a financial oligarchy, run by the E.U. bureaucracy, basically the European Central Bank, that’s neoliberal, anti-labor, anti-government, and totally in the pockets of the most predatory banks.

AMY GOODMAN: And what does it mean if Papandreou is out?

MICHAEL HUDSON: It could mean a number of things. Either it means that other members of his party—the finance minister, who is against the referendum—will come in and not hold a referendum at all and try to keep Greece on the austerity plan, or there will be a fall in the government, a no-confidence vote, and people will presumably vote for the Conservative Party, which, there, is very much like the Republican Party in the United States.

The reason there have been all of these demonstrations is the same reason that the Occupy Wall Street movement is in New York and the rest of the United States. The frustration is not only at the financial overhead, the debt overhead; it’s at the political fact that there is no choice. Both the Conservative Party and the Socialist Party in Greece, just like the Republicans and Democrats here, are both taking the side of the banks. So people don’t even have a chance to express a democratic alternative to essentially being ground down by debt peonage and letting the economy polarize even further between creditors and debtors.

AMY GOODMAN: And the significance of President Obama being there, and what this means—the meeting of the G20, what is happening in Greece—for the United States?

MICHAEL HUDSON: He’s making the threat that Europe has to cut its own throat in order to save the United States hedge funds and banks from taking a loss on the Greek bonds that they’ve insured. One of the reasons that people have been willing to buy Greek bonds is they bought credit insurance. And the European banks, mostly—maybe not Barclays or Deutsche Bank, but most banks—are not willing to write credit insurance, because everybody at the conference here in Berlin, at the Böckler Foundation conference, every single economist says there is no conceivable way in which Greece can pay its debts. But the Americans, hedge funds and bankers and—have come in and said, "We’ll write a guarantee." And then they lean on President Obama and Tim Geithner to tell the Europeans, "You have to make Greece pay, so that we win the bets that we’ve made, because if we lose the bets, then we go under, and the stock market crashes, and a lot of people can’t collect on their money market funds." So, this is just the naked, brute force that Mr. Obama is doing. He’s basically telling Europe, "Don’t go the democratic route. Support Wall Street."

AMY GOODMAN: Michael Hudson, economist, president of the Institute for the Study of Long-Term Economic Trends, distinguished research professor of economics at University of Missouri, Kansas City, author of Super Imperialism: The Economic Strategy of American Empire.

We’re going to go to break. When we come back, we’re going to talk about a related issue. What happened with MF Holdings? How is related to Greece and to the United States? Its head, Jon Corzine, was both a senator and governor from New Jersey. Stay with us.

Found via Naked Capitalism.

Monday, June 20, 2011

Syntagma Square manifesto: nationalization, direct democracy, bankruptcy... revolution

Resolutions of the Popular Assembly (Syntagma Square, Athens) June-16-2011:


1. A full year has passed with the country under the Memorandum [IMF imposed rules]. They told us that the Memorandum was the only way to reduce debt. They told us that cuts, austerity and new taxes were necessary sacrifices to get the country out of the crisis. 

Every day new measures are adopted, salaries are cut, taxes increased. Simultaneously debt grows, unemployment is rampant, youth takes the path of emigration. The new loans are dedicated to pay the interests of previous loans, and the deficit of Greece and other countries becomes the surplus of Germany and other wealthy countries of the North. And all because it is not true that the main of the debt is because of the salaries and pensions as they claim. The culprit are the great tax evasion and the subsidies given to capital, it is the orgy of weaponry and medicines bought. Enough already! The People will take the solution in their hands to break this vicious circle. We are already bankrupt even if they don't tell us. Meanwhile they keep adopting new exhaustive measures and cuts, they get rid of whatever Greek bonds they own and they sell at the lowest possible price all public land and property that exists. 

Faced with their only possible ways, we declare:

Let them take away their memorandums, let us be again owners of our lives!

Let them not dare to approve the new package of short term measures!

Let them go away! We do not want the IMF government nor the Troika!

No privatization, no sale of land or public property at all!

We owe nothing, we sell not and we pay not. Negation and elimination of the debt. This debt is not ours. Let measures be taken for the small part of the debt related to social security. Let banks be nationalized. The state with its aid has already paid the banks much above their real value, only for them to keep speculating. 

Let the people be shown the accounts of the debt, so it knows where the money went to. Radical redistribution of income and change of the tax law for the benefit of the workers. Let those who have money pay: the ship owners, the bankers, the Capital and the Church. We want a popular control of the economy and production. 

We know that the path we have chosen is difficult and that we will have to face many threats and blackmails. They will talk of bankruptcy, isolation of the country, risk of derailing. We know that we are going to go through tough times but the path proposed by the repeated memorandums is the worst one. Our People has said many times NO!, let us say it once again!

With self-organization and direct democracy everywhere: in the squares, the work and study places, and knowing that we can, we will gain our future. 

If impossible is to live your life as you want
at least put as much effort
on it as you can; do not let it become vile.
Constantinos Kafavis


2. We accuse the mass media, public and private, of giving false information to the citizens and of hiding the homicidal attacks of the repressive forces. 


3. We support that the demonstration by Syrian immigrants against the genocide in their country ends in Syntagma square and we approve their participation in our activities.


4. We will translate all the banners in our plazas to other languages so our cry becomes international.


5. Let there be a workshop against xenophobia and racism.


6. Let there be an informative workshop on alternative trade and exchange, on exchange networks and communities (on Tuesday 21 or Wednesday 22).

____________________________________________________________


Translated not directly from Greek but from Spanish by me. If you know of a better translation let me know. 

Source: La Haine[es] (includes another declaration from June 15th).

Notes on the financial aspects of the Eurocrisis

Because it is not a mere Greek issue but a pan-European one and it is not a financial or even economic issue but one of democracy and sovereignty.

But there is also a Greek facet and a financial facet to all it.


Exposure

Naked Capitalism offers us this graph (originally from BBC, it seems):


The graph is consistent with the data published by the BIS months ago plus the first rescue package (that explains the large German public exposure) but hide the main exposed country: Greece itself.

It is not consistent however with the data provided by The Guardian, which states that the French exposure is of "only" € 9.4 billion, the German one of € 7.9 billion and the Greek one of € 45.9 billion. Other exposed states are the Netherlands and Belgium (together € 7.2 billion), Cyprus (as much as € 5.9 billion), the UK (€ 2.1 billion), Portugal (€ 1.3 billion) and Italy (€ 1.2 billion). This data seems to refer to exposure of private banks only but is still not coincident with the BBC figures above (total is "only" € 91.8 billion) . 

In any case, The Guardian's  data has the advantage of listing the allegedly most exposed banks:
  • NBG (Greece): € 19.4 billion
  • Agricultural Bank (Greece): € 10 billion
  • Piraeus (Greece): € 8.7 billion
  • EFG Eurobank (Greece): € 7.9 billion
  • Hellenic Postbank (Greece): € 5.4 billion
  • BNP Paribas (France): € 5.0 billion
  • Alpha Bank (Greece): € 4.6 billion
  • Dexia (Belgium): € 3.5 billion
  • Marfin Popular (Cyprus/Greece): € 2.9 billion
  • Komerzbank (Germany): € 2.9 billion
  • Societé Generále (France): € 2.5 billion
  • ING (Netherlands): € 2.4 billion
  • Bank of Cyprus: € 2.0 billion
  • Landesbank Baden (Germany): € 1.4 billion
  • Postbank (Germany): € 1.2 billion
  • DZ Bank (Germany): € 1.2 billion
  • BPCE (Germany): € 1.2 billion
  • Bank of Scotland (UK): € 1.1 billion

Who should exit the Eurozone?
Oddly enough a column at the conservative British newspaper The Telegraph suggests that it is not Greece who should exit but Germany. According to Edmund Conway:

Without Germany, the euro would obviously be a significantly weaker currency (particularly if Germany was joined by the Netherlands). But it would no longer be torn apart by the unhealthy dynamics that have haunted it in its first decade.

True, very true. However Germany would lose much of its internal competitive advantage within the EU and for that reason alone, Germany will not exit the euro, not even if the other states impose a more flexible monetary policy devaluing the currency. Germany is just too dependent on its sales to other EU states to allow itself losing such neocolonial markets. What they will do instead is to try to keep the euro policies as fascist as they have been so far, and that is what is causing all this havoc. 

So the Eurozone will unavoidably collapse because for Germany it is easier to let the neocolonies go away one by one, weakened by immense debt and social collapse, than allow them to take control of the European Union. Technically the southern states, specially if supported by France, could take complete control of the Union and force the hand of Germany but for that they would need to have compromised leaders who were not sold to foreign "investors", who really cared about their countries future. These do not seem to exist in most cases and that's why the peoples in all the southern European Union are so upset at their leaders and political systems.

Friday, May 27, 2011

Debtocracy (documentary on the Greek debt crisis)

A most interesting documentary on the Greek debt crisis and how it is essentially odious debt: an imperialist scheme, a scam, to rob the country, to literally steal the life from the People.

DEBTOCRACY!


Debtocracy International Version por BitsnBytes

Friday, December 10, 2010

Iceland government bows again to British-Dutch armed robbery (Icebank case)

Should a nation pay the debt contracted by some private citizens (bankers)? My clear answer and the historical answer is no way! If you make deals with private companies/individuals, they are the only responsible ones for whatever developments. Sue them but you should never pretend that a whole nation would pay for their failures.

However nowadays in Iceland, as in Greece or Ireland, Lithuania or Hungary, it seems that the fashion (fascist imposition by banksters, often foreign banksters) is that the nation must for some odd reason assume the debt contracted by private actors. This claim has no legitimacy whatsoever but that's what is being sold in the media as the normal thing to do: transfer bank problems to the nations. So the Irish ended buying German toxic banks with Irish names and addresses and the Icelanders are being pushed into paying from their budget the debts contracted by private venture Icebank before it was nationalized.

Obviously this is wrong: it is a brutal abuse and a clear case of imperialism.

Icelanders were somewhat lucky, as their president (a rare case of political honesty) vetoed the measure, widely opposed by the Icelander People (logically), who eventually got to vote and rejected it with 93% agreeing it was a unbearable abuse. But, as usual in these cases, the same measure is now being reintroduced with lesser modifications (a small decrease of the interest to be paid for the non-existent debt). The British and Dutch governments, representing creditors are happy but I doubt Icelanders are at all.

And I wonder if the measure will this time be approved, because it seems to me that nothing has really changed: Iceland is being demanded to assume a debt it never contracted as nation. It'd be like holding the USA responsible for the debts of Lehman Brothers or Bernard Madoff, you know. Can you imagine Banco Santander for instance, backed by Spain and EU maybe, demanding the USA to pay Madoff's debts? It makes no sense at all, right? Well, exactly that is what the UK and the Netherlands are demanding from Iceland or what Germany and the UK are demanding from Ireland. It's total abuse of power and the peoples should never swallow that junk.

I really hope they do not accept such abusive impositions or they may end up as Haiti, whom France forced to accept a massive "debt" as "reparations" for declaring independence and liberating all slaves. Debt that has been a brutal burden to the Caribbean nation till present day.

Friday, November 26, 2010

Who loses if Greece, Ireland, Portugal or Spain go bankrupt?

I just found this macroeconomic report of the Bank of International Settlements:


Among other macroeconomic data, it details the exposure by country (page 16) to the loans of the four Eurozone countries targeted for "revision" by the media and some authorities: Greece, Ireland, Portugal and Spain.

It is an interesting data to review. Let's see:


Greece

The main state exposed to a possible Greek bankruptcy is France, with more tha 1/3 of total exposure, followed by Germany, the USA and the broad category of other EU countries (Benelux and/or Nordic countries surely). Spain, Italy, the UK and the rest of the world have rather low exposures.


Ireland

Roughly half the Irish exposure is split between the UK and Germany. The USA, France and the other EU group are also quite exposed. The overall exposure to an Irish bankruptcy is almost three times larger than in the cases Greece and Portugal, in spite of Ireland being a country almost three times smaller than these two.

It is clear that Ireland has been lent to quite liberally in the recent past.


Portugal

The most exposed country is Spain, what makes Portugal the first real case of possible "contagion" senso stricto (there's a lot of chatter about "contagion" and "domino effect" but actually this is the only case where a the main creditor is also among the "red tagged" countries). Spain holds about 1/3 of Portuguese exposure, followed at a good distance by Germany, France, the USA and the UK.


Spain

Spain is much larger than any of the others by all measures (4 times larger than Portugal or Greece and ten times Ireland, by population). It also has the largest foreign exposure, which is however only somewhat larger than that of Ireland ($1100 billion compared to $843 billion).

The Spanish exposure is shared roughly at similar apportions by France, Germany, the USA, the UK and the other EU group. Each has, very roughly, 1/5 of the exposure.


Who loses more where?

All lose the most in the event of a Spanish bankruptcy, except the UK that would lose more in the Irish case. However for some countries (Germany, UK) the loses are quite even in the Irish and Spanish cases. France stands to lose the most in Spain and Greece and has few interests in Ireland. The USA is most exposed in the Spanish and Irish cases but being a much larger country and economy the blow would be rather light in any case. Spain stands to lose the most in the case of a Portuguese bankruptcy.


I believe that these are interesting figures and concepts to get familiar with for whatever may lay ahead, which does not look pretty in any case.